Mercedes are *probably* going to win
As refreshing as it was to see someone other than Lewis Hamilton or Nico Rosberg on the top step of the podium in Malaysia, it’s doubtful Ferrari will be able to triumph again in Shanghai.
A number of factors held Mercedes back a fortnight ago, giving Sebastian Vettel the perfect opportunity to claim his first victory for the Maranello outfit.
The track temperature in China will be nowhere near the 60°C-plus figures that forced The Silver Arrows to creep around on the slower compound tyre in Malaysia. They should find the rubber much more durable during the Chinese race.
That said, the Shanghai International Circuit still has a reputation for high degradation, particularly on the fronts. Management will be key to making race strategy, and drivers will be quickly punished for any spins or lock-ups that cause flat spots to develop.
If Vettel and Raikkonen’s rivals make any mistakes, they might just be in with a shout. Possibly.